Climate change mitigation strategies are at the forefront of discussions regarding how the global population and various governments can achieve the ambitious greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction commitments. These are needed to achieve the Paris Accord’s 2015 stated goal of limiting global warming to below 2°C, but with a target of 1.5°C, above preindustrial levels.1 An ambitious endeavor of such magnitude raises the question, how is such a goal accomplished? The answer to this question is multifaceted and requires significant innovation and cutting-edge research & development across many industries.
By Foster Voelker II – Director of Engineering, Williams Valve
Mitigation Goals
According to the United Nations, “more than 70 countries, including the biggest polluters – China, the United States, and the European Union – have set a net-zero target, covering roughly 76% of global emissions. Over 1,200 companies have put in place science-based targets in line with net zero, and more than 1,000 cities, over 1,000 educational institutions, and over 400 financial institutions have joined the Race to Zero, pledging to take rigorous, immediate action to halve global emissions by 2030.”2
The fossil fuel and energy sectors are the obvious focus. Based on data from the U.S Energy Information Administration, “Fossil fuel combustion (burning) for energy accounted for 73% of total U.S. GHG emissions and 92% of total U.S. anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. CO2 emissions from other anthropogenic sources and activities were about 6% of total GHG emissions and 8% of total CO2 emissions.”3
As can be seen with the pending legislation banning the sale of gas-powered vehicles by 2030 in several US States, or the significant investments in renewable production sources, decreasing fossil fuel dependency is the priority. However, even if successful, reducing energy and fossil fuel consumption is likely not adequate to reduce CO2 emissions to a level required to achieve the goals as outlined by the Paris Accords and United Nations. According to The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) special report on carbon capture and storage, “no single technology option will provide all of the emission reductions needed to achieve stabilization, but a portfolio of mitigation measures will be needed.”4
Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
To achieve these targets, the implementation of carbon capture and storage as well as negative emissions technologies (NETs) are inevitable. Carbon capture, as the name implies, is the process of capturing carbon dioxide emissions before entering the atmosphere for safe storage. The IPCC defines carbon capture and storage as “a process consisting of the separation of CO2 from industrial and energy-related sources, transport to a storage location, and long-term isolation from the atmosphere.”4 Carbon capture technology focuses on large point sources of CO2 emissions from industries such as power, refining, steel manufacturing, petrochemical, etc.

The Global CCS Institute estimates that facilities currently in operation or under construction have the capacity to capture more than 40 million metric tons of CO2 per year.5 According to the 2022 report, “As of September 2022, there are 196 (including two suspended) projects in the CCS facilities pipeline. This is an impressive growth of 44 % in the number of CCS facilities since the Global Status of CCS 2021 report and continues the upward momentum in CCS projects in development since 2017.
By facility count growth, the U.S. continues to lead the way globally, with 34 new projects since 2021. Other leading countries in the past year include Canada (19 new projects), the UK (13), Norway (8), Australia, the Netherlands, and Iceland (6 each).”6 The concept of directly capturing CO2, however, was not developed for environmental concerns. Several commercial CO2 capture facilities were constructed in the late 1970s and early 1980s as possible economic sources of CO2, but these ambitions were short-lived as the mid-1980s drop in oil prices made recovered CO2 too expensive.7 In recent years, environmental regulations have driven adoption and the scope of industries implementing CCS technologies has increased significantly since the 1970s. The global 2022 status of operational and pending CCS facilities are outlined in Figures 1 and 2.6
The main challenge to the adoption of CCS technologies is the cost of implementation. The equipment and additional energy needed for the capture and compression phases of the process are associated with high costs and increased water consumption. This could be an additional challenge for facilities located in areas experiencing water scarcity or drought. Transportation costs are also high as it requires significant energy to maintain the chilled compressed CO2 throughout transportation to the storage facility. Transportation itself will require the construction of specialized piping systems8 directed to an available geological storage facility. The United States has attempted to offset these challenges by offering national tax credits for CCS via Section 45Q of the Internal Revenue Code.9 Many states have followed suit, offering state-level credits. Several other governments have similar legislation to incentivize the adoption of CCS technologies. As a result, the implementation of CCS projects on the horizon is ever-growing and the subsequent market opportunities for valve manufacturers are quite large.

Negative Emission Technology (NETs)
There is a growing consensus that mitigation technologies may not be adequate to achieve the Paris Agreement’s targets making negative emission technologies (NETs) essential. NETs remove CO2 directly from the atmosphere. A paper published in February 2022 in the Energy & Environment Science Journal regarding Direct Air Capture makes the following assessment, “CCS technologies are proposed to reduce the rate of release CO2 from large, stationary sources by capturing a large portion of CO2 from gas mixtures destined for the atmosphere, with subsequent storage of CO2 in geological sites. Thus, they may find application in sectors where CO2 emissions cannot be avoided as they are inherent to the process, e.g., steel and cement production, and the production of various chemicals, as well as from any remaining fossil-fuel power generation. Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies seek to go further, removing CO2 already present in the air. If a specific CDR technology results in net-negative CO2 emissions, e.g., it is powered by renewable energy, and the captured CO2 is stored, then it may be called a NET. Among various NETs, two of them stand out as variations of CCS: bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS).”10 Several NETs that directly remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere have been suggested. These technologies range in scope from afforestation/reforestation (AR) and soil carbon sequestration (SCS) to direct air capture. A breakdown of NETs is outlined in Figure 3.11


Final Thoughts
Currently, the IPCC reports have only addressed BECCS and AR, establishing a need for NETs while raising concerns over the availability, scale, or other potential negative consequences of NETs.10 It is likely that future IPCC reports will incorporate additional NETs and make the case that NETs are needed as complementary technologies to standard mitigation techniques and are paramount in achieving the CO2 reductions necessary to reach global commitments. As a result, it is highly probable legislative initiatives will drive innovation and development in NETs yielding additional market opportunities for equipment manufacturers in these developing technologies.


References:
- https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/the-paris-agreement
- https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/net-zero-coalition
- https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/energy-and-the-environment/where-greenhouse-gases-come-from.php
- https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ srccs_wholereport-1.pdf
- https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/ uploads/2021/11/Global-Status-of-CCS-2021-Global- CCS-Institute-1121.pdf
- https://status22.globalccsinstitute.com/2022-status-report/global-status-of-ccs/
- http://web.mit.edu/energylab/www/pubs/knoxville.pdf
- https://www.mdpi.com/1996- 1073/11/9/2184?type=check_update&version=1
- https://betterenergy.org/blog/primer-section-45q-tax-credit-for-carbon-capture-projects/
- https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2022/EE/ D1EE03523A#cit24
- https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ aabf9b
